‘EU on Brink of Disaster Without 13 Million Immigrants Annually’. 'ZhS Premium' claim fact-checked

The post about the catastrophe awaiting the European Union if it does not accept 13 million migrants per year was published by the Telegram channel “ZhS Premium” on July 24, 2024.

“It (the UN report) states in black and white, that for EU countries to maintain their population at the proper level, 13 million migrants per year or 674 million by the end of this period should be admitted to the continent until 2050. Otherwise, disaster awaits. Depopulation, labor market imbalances, economic crisis, and other dire predictions.

But since the UN is directly saying this, what's all the fuss about? The Poles will soon go crazy, inventing ways to keep refugees out. Meanwhile, as it turns out, they are also creating problems for themselves,” the post says.

The report referenced by “ZhS Premium” was published in 2000. It modeled five scenarios of migration policy in different countries, including Russia, for the next 50 years and how they could affect population size and aging in these territories. However, the report doesn't provide those specific figures cited by the Telegram channel.

According to the report, to sustain the current population size until 2050, the European Union's annual intake of migrants should be around one million.

Statistics show that the EU has been surpassing this target. In fact, the population of the European Union has grown by approximately 20 million people over the past two and a half decades.

The 13 million migrants per year mentioned by "ZhS Premium" refer to a different scenario, which aims to maintain a high ratio of retirees to the working-age population.